Q2 2026 findings

Quarterly findings across all HCBS provider types. Aggregate values publish once at least five providers have submitted included responses for a period, per the published methodology.

How to read these findings

The four-quadrant framework

Quarterly findings are organized around four quadrants of system stress. Roman numerals below label each quadrant — they refer to the framework, not to calendar quarters.

Provider stability

Closures, downsizing, intake freezes, county or service-line exits.

Workforce stress

Vacancy, turnover, overtime, wage levels, agency staffing reliance.

Access pressure

Waitlists, declined referrals, high-acuity refusal, reduced service hours.

Crisis spillover

ER, hospitalization, law enforcement, placement disruption, crisis stabilization.

Access pressure (III) indicators are collected in the survey and reported in the regional stress composite below.

Quadrant II · Workforce stress

DSP vacancy — five quarter trend

Median across reporting providers, all service lines. The July 2026 rate cuts took effect July 1, 2026 (start of Q3).

Q1 2026
5.7%
Q2 2026
11%
Quadrant I · Provider stability

Providers reporting a stability change

Share of reporting providers in each category indicating at least one stability change — closure, downsizing, intake freeze, or county/service-line exit — in the last 90 days.

Residential Habilitation / Supported Living46.2%
Developmental Disability Agency80%
Targeted Service Coordination25%
Certified Family Home (suppressed, n=0)—
Behavioral Health / Crisis33.3%
Community Supported Employment100%
Day / Community Habilitation (suppressed, n=0)—
Personal Care Services (suppressed, n=1)—
Nursing / Clinical Support (suppressed, n=2)—
Occupational Therapy (OT) (suppressed, n=0)—
Physical Therapy (PT) (suppressed, n=0)—
Speech-Language Pathology (SLP) (suppressed, n=0)—
Other HCBS service33.3%
Quadrant IV · Crisis spillover

Events attributed to service gaps

Service-gap-attributed events across the reporting period. These represent costs that have shifted from HCBS to higher-cost or non-Medicaid settings.

ER visits115
Hospitalizations87
Law enforcement98
Placement disruptions111
Crisis stabilization100

Stress indicator by IDHW region

Composite of all four quadrants, all service lines. Regions with fewer than three reporting providers fold up to neighbors.

Region 1 — Coeur d'AleneElevated
Region 2 — LewistonElevated
Region 3 — CaldwellElevated
Region 4 — BoiseElevated
Region 5 — Twin FallsElevated
Region 6 — PocatelloElevated
Region 7 — Idaho FallsElevated

Intervention thresholds

Per the Potentia framework, deterioration is normalized one step at a time without defined trigger points. Each indicator below has a published threshold at which the coalition considers system stress to have crossed from elevated into emergency.

Home/location closures & beds offline (reports, not agency closures)6
Full agency closures or wind-downs (organizations)1
Median DSP vacancy12%
Median overtime rate (optional reporting)0%
Counties with documented reductions22
High-acuity referral denialsTracking — baseline pending

Looking for the other track?

ResHab Pulse — monthly findings

The monthly pulse is a separate, faster-cadence dataset covering residential habilitation and supported living only. It is reported and aggregated independently of the quarterly survey.

View ResHab Pulse findings →

A note on this data

These figures reflect self-selected providers who chose to participate. The sample is not statistically representative of all Idaho HCBS providers. Trends across reporting periods are more meaningful than absolute values. See methodology for details on collection, suppression, and limitations.

Last updated 9/23/2026, 2:24:15 AM

Trends across periods

How key indicators have moved over time

Quarterly Survey

Median DSP vacancy

12% latest · Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

Q1 2026 (January–March 2026): 5.7%Q2 2026 (April–June 2026): 12%
Q1 2026 (January–March 2026)Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

Included submissions

33 latest · Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

Q1 2026 (January–March 2026): 11Q2 2026 (April–June 2026): 33
Q1 2026 (January–March 2026)Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

Home/location closures & beds offline (reports)

6 latest · Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

Q1 2026 (January–March 2026): 0Q2 2026 (April–June 2026): 6
Q1 2026 (January–March 2026)Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

Counties with documented reductions

22 latest · Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

Q1 2026 (January–March 2026): 0Q2 2026 (April–June 2026): 22
Q1 2026 (January–March 2026)Q2 2026 (April–June 2026)

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